Cheddar wk2, OSU -7.5 v Okla.

[Placeholder post to get the lines up; back with more later today.]

I thought that was a terrific opening week for Cheddar. From top-notch essays, to a ULM winner on the first night out, to TWO THREE Lobsterfests (Cuuugs and Elder and Pants).

Hey what’s your favorite mobile app for getting sports scores? For years I’ve used Yahoo Sports (don’t laugh, it’s decent) but recently have been steered to theScore. Would prefer to avoid ESPN. Bleacher Report looks like it’s spruced up it’s UI. Thuuz is interesting.

Download (PDF, Unknown)

  • The Cuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuugs

    Apparently the salt mine does not have very good reception. Sorry this is coming so late, but here’s my essay.
    Essay Pick: Steelers (-6) over Vikings
    Other than playing in Cleveland, Ben Roethlisberger is a much worse quarterback on the road than at home. Coming off a mediocre performance in Week 1, the Steelers offense will look to get back to its high-flying ways. Bell now has a game under his belt to shake off the rust, and the Vikings defense will be with a limited Xavier Rhodes. Speaking of being without players, the Minnesota offense may be without Sam Bradford, forcing Case Keenum under center. Sorry, I just don’t see the Vikings able to keep pace with the Steelers in their home opener.

  • RDGinCLE

    Will make the Bears my play of the week and use my non essay. Also Niners and Browns.

    Thanks. Im hoping to get my act together soon (not optimistic).

  • TS_Butler

    OK (W)
    Utah (W)
    Skins + 1
    Cards -2
    Rams -3.5
    Essay: Chargers +3.5

    Taking the Chargers for my essay this week. Rivers loves playing in Denver: “But Denver’s always one, when we get off the bus, I like to go out there and look at it empty. The crispness in the air, plus the stadium itself is awesome. I was one of those kids that grew up, when you built sand castles, I was building stadiums. I was into that kind of stuff. Just the look of the field — it’s about as perfect as it gets.” He really, really loves it. Essentially this pick for me boils down to Rivers vs. Siemian, it’s not even close. I think the Chargers are coming into the season a bit underrated this year, and the Broncos just signed Brock Osweiler. Disjointed essay #2: complete.

    • TS_Butler

      Actually take me off washington. I’ll go texans -5.5

  • Went with my heart and not my head on the OSU pick, not doing the same today… Steelers -9 for my final pick.

  • 16-2 on essays as of sunday morning?
    this bodes very bad for the essays submitted for today…

  • Earlier,
    1. Army (loss, in person! see below what $45 day-of-game gets you for seats/setting at West Point), not impressed with Moncken’s offense _execution_ considering his (1.6M) salary. Great win for Army but UB looked the better team.
    2. Clemson (win), this was a tip from a couple people I’m working with.
    3. Okla (win), JT Barrett sucks and it’s past time to own that and get any potential Cardales teed up.

    Today,
    4. Houston -5.5, kickoff will be delayed 30 minutes for schmaltzy over-produced ‘caring’ videos and a healthy dose of self-congatulatory giving back to the community chatter. But the team and crowd should be ready play and pretty fired up.
    5. Raiders +2, something has cause this line to move toward the Titans by about 4 points but unless that something is a trade of Mariota for Carr the Raiders win this pretty easily.

    6. Essay, the Browns +9. HOMER PICK! Yeah sure why not but there’s a tad more from my end. It’s been four years since I wrote a post outlining that the offensive line is absolutely the paramount area of need in building a winning team and a championship team and crucially a dynasty. It turns out that every ‘dynastic’ team (Lombardi Packers, Shula 70s Doplhins, Staubach Cowboys, Takenton Vikings, 70s Rams, etc… I found 16 teams) with one glaring and explainable exception (the Bradshaw Steelers who had like 9 all-pros on their 79 team players like Kolb and Mullins didn’t get pro-bowl) had at least three studs on their offensive line.
    So yes I have been screaming at the Browns to tack on a stud to help Thomas and Mack for years. I mean aside from the data/history that demonstrates the imperative of a top o-line, it’s sound strategy in football, business, and life to be #1 in _something_.
    Having the best o-line is not about building a run game and plodding ball possession offense and the a quaint relic of this 55 year old’s memory feeding a need for the reassurance of stability from a simpler time in the face of changing times that he can’t or won’t adapt to. No (you patronizing flat brims), having the best o-line is important because it turns Bart Starr and Bob Griese into HOFers. Shoot, Bill Nelsen was as good as better than Starr and fucking Mike Phipps would’ve been Terry Bradshaw behind the Dolphins’ line. In this ‘you have to find your quarterback’ era of superheros where one player is presented as key… well, they’re lying to you again. It’s still a team game and everyone has an important role. You give a QB one extra second to scan the field and the WR one extra second to finish his route and all of sudden Matt Ryan is in a SB and Cardale Jones is winning a championship.
    So, Deshone Kizer? Corey Coleman? Who cares? Could be Brandon Weeden and Joe Jurevicious so long as you’ve got Bitonio and Zeitler and Thomas. Damn I wish we had Mack and Schwartz BUT THE POINT IS:
    It looks like the Browns got smart in focusing on the o-line. Perhaps it portends that they’ve gotten smarter in other areas too. (e.g., says here that Joe Haden wasn’t cut because of his talent but because Greg Williams didn’t like his attitude.) (e.g., I don’t know who the ‘CEO’ is but I do know he’s not showing up in any Bill Simmons’ blog talking a really cool TED Talks presentation on how analytics helps football when you know damn well he’s incapable of performing either a quadratic equation or a proper three-point stance.)
    That’s it, Browns to cover in a respectable loss.

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/12dec02ebb9c036898769bc7db0429f3c39a519cedda914d2bff45911ec6ba59.jpg

    • actovegin1armstrong

      Me: “How do you fell about the execution of Moncken’s offense?
      Mike B: “I am all for it.”

      With all due respect to the late John McKay.

  • Earlier,
    1. Army (loss, in person! see below for what kind of seats/setting $45 morning-of-the-game gets you at West Point), not impressed with Moncken’s offense’s _execution_ considering his (1.6M) salary. Great win for Army but UB looked the better team.
    2. Clemson (win), this was a tip from a couple people I’m working with.
    3. Okla (win), JT Barrett sucks and it’s past time to own that and get any potential Cardales teed up.

    Today,
    4. Houston -5.5, kickoff will be delayed 30 minutes for schmaltzy over-produced ‘caring’ videos and a healthy dose of self-congatulatory giving back to the community chatter. But the team and crowd should be ready play and pretty fired up.
    5. Raiders +2, something has cause this line to move toward the Titans by about 4 points but unless that something is a trade of Mariota for Carr the Raiders win this pretty easily.

    6. Essay, the Browns +9. HOMER PICK! Yeah sure why not but there’s a tad more from my end. It’s been four years since I wrote a post outlining that absolutely paramount area need in building a winning team and a championship team and crucially a dynasty. It turns out that every ‘dynastic’ team (Lombardi Packers, Shula 70s Doplhins, Staubach Cowboys, Takenton Vikings, 70s Rams, etc… I found 16 teams) with one glaring and explainable exception (the Bradshaw Steelers who had like 9 all-pros on their 79 team players like Kolb and Mullins didn’t get pro-bowl) had at least three studs on their offensive line.
    So yes I have been screaming at the Browns to tack on a stud to help Thomas and Mack for years. I mean aside from the data/history that demonstrates the imperative of a top o-line, it’s sound strategy in football, business, and life to be #1 in _something_.
    Having the best o-line is not about building a run game and plodding ball possession offense and the a quaint relic of this 55 year old’s memory and a reassuring area of stability from a simpler time still standing in changing times that he can’t or won’t adapt to. No (you patronizing flat brim wearers), having the best o-line is important because it turns Bart Starr and Bob Griese HOFers. Shoot, Bill Nelsen was as good as better than Starr and fucking Mike Phipps would’ve been Terry Bradshaw behind the Dolphins’ line. In this ‘you have to find your quarterback’ era of superheros where one player is presented as key… well they’re lying to you again. You give a QB one extra second to scan the field and the WR one extra second to finish his route and all of sudden Matt Ryan is in a SB and Cardale Jones is winning a championship.
    So, Deshone Kizer? Corey Coleman? Who cares? Could be Brandon Weeden and Joe Jurevicious so long as you’ve got Bitonio and Zeitler and Thomas. Damn I wish we had Mack and Schwartz BUT THE POINT IS:
    It looks like the Browns got smart in focusing on the o-line. Perhaps it portends that they’ve gotten smarter in other areas too. (e.g., says here that Joe Haden wasn’t cut because of his talent but because Greg Williams didn’t like his attitude.) (e.g., I don’t know who the ‘CEO’ is but I do know he’s not showing up in any Bill Simmons’ blog talking a really cool TED Talks presentation on how analytics helps football when you know damn well he’s incapable of performing either a quadratic equation or a proper three-point stance.)
    That’s it, Browns to cover in a respectable loss.

  • Dave Borcas

    Replace South Florida with Mississippi State please

  • oxr

    All-Play Ohio State -7.5 over Oklahoma – herd instinct. Mulling over NFL picks for tomorrow.

    • oxr

      Seahawks +3 over Packers
      Jets +9.5 over Bills — are we all being too cute with this one?
      Falcons -7 over Bears — see comment below re: Bears QBs
      Rams -3.5 over Colts — if the rams have even gotten a little bit better… if…

      Essay Cardinals -2 over Lions — Who’s on the Lions offensive line this year, anyway? Oh look, it’s Greg Robinson! I thought PFF was listing his jersey number but it turns out he was their #71 offensive tackle in the league last year; I didn’t even know they ranked that many. Who else do I know on the Lions? Ziggy Ansah just missed all of training camp and Stafford just signed an enormous contract extension. As with his division-mate Any Bears QB Ever, I am good at picking for/against Matt Stafford in the wrong weeks but still, by rights this really ought to be a tough matchup for the potato-headed hundred-millionaire. Apparently the plan for this week is to have a rookie linebacker deal with David Johnson. The Cardinals were on the whole disappointing last year but they finished pointlessly strong on the road and could easily win this by a FG – as has been noted by many others, this is a weird week 1 line that could easily be five or more.

  • Jeff Smith

    Navy -13
    Ohio State -7.5 (must play)
    Falcons -7
    Redskins +1
    49ers +5.5

    Essay Play
    Cardinals -2

    Well, somehow the Lions opened up as 2.5 point favorites which I have yet to figure out. It is now time for Matt Stafford to completely under perform his new contract – it still baffles me that this guy was able to lure $135M, but it’s not my money. Look for the Cards to put up points in this one and they should be able to move at will. Even though the statistics last year may have shown otherwise, I am still not impressed with the Lions offense. With the Cards fully healthy, I don’t think this will be a very close one.

  • zarathustra

    South Carolina
    The SEC East is wide open in my opinion and I like the Gamecocks to win.

    Ravens
    I think the Ravens win the AFC North this year and won’t be surprised if they win the conference.

    Ohio St
    I wouldn’t touch this irl, but night game at home vs a Big 12 team. Plus, bounce back from last week. Yes, they won by four touchdowns, but I’m guessing it felt at least a little like a loss last week and they will be better tonight.

    BYU***
    These are often close games and I’m happy to roll with the home team and an alumnus coach who wants this one badly. I don’t know much about this year’s team other than the qb is back, but last year their only losses were close. Getting stomped at LSU in a night game doesn’t even register as a concern here. Utah has a really good coach too and they own this rivalry, but they aren’t LSU. Ultimately it comes down to: home game, rilvary, night, hard-nosed team, highly motivated. This will be a big win for the program.

    UVA
    I think Bronco Mendenhall has Virginia headed in the right direction. I also don’t trust Indiana to bounce back well after last week. Especially on the road. Even if UVA doesn’t have a good home field advantage the IU players still have to travel.

    Niners
    Considering that most fans were happy to see both Brian Hoyer and Kyle Shannahan go can only mean that the Niners are eventually Super Bowl-bound. Hoyer referred to his time with the Browns as a circus. “Actual facts are thrown at you, the impact’ll blow trees back and crack statues….”
    And this: http://www.csnbayarea.com/49ers/brian-hoyer-yoga-meditation-has-really-helped-me
    I almost always play this angle when I see it.

  • ChuckKoz

    Oklahoma +7.5

    • ChuckKoz

      Giants for essay(skip week)

      Saints
      Chargers

      Apologies for my unprofessional behavior of not even making all my bets. In Cleveland for the weekend, too much fun to be had

  • The Cuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuugs

    Well, how do you follow up an Admiral’s Feast? By picking Kansas City in your Loser Survivor Pool, thinking the Purdue/Ohio game was today and not yesterday, and injuring your left ankle at the tail-end of your jog in Parma because a deer came out of the shrubbery in front of you. Yes, sounds like we need to go with a Things Fall Apart theme:

    New England (-7) over Kansas City: Always good to post your losses to start your group picks.
    Navy (-13) over Tulane: Grambling isn’t a very good prep for the option offense. Besides, Tulane has a giant wave in its logo, and I think waves and wind and water need to chill the fuck out.
    Michigan State (-7.5) over Western Michigan: It’s hard enough to come back from vacation on the West Coast, let alone come back and play a team that wants to pound the ball on the ground all day. Atlanta (-7) over Chicago: Remember the last time the Falcons played a half of football? Matt Ryan does, and apparently there’s even a commercial out about it. Plus, the Bears drafted a guy who didn’t realize Twitter captures everything you post:
    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/7f36b4c0c8e227eb962ab6beab5d39a6c4f0c76590182d189479f593b26ba2bb.jpg
    All-Play: Ohio State (-7.5) over Oklahoma: Bob Stoops from Ohio quit in the middle of this series? ‘Nuff said. Homer pick!
    Essay: Buffalo (-6) over New York: The Jets of 2014 finished the year at 4-12. Geno Smith wasn’t the answer, Percy Harvin had headaches, and during an eight-game losing streak, the defense gave up an average of 30 points per game. So what solves all problems in New York City and the NFL? Money! In comes Ryan Fitzpatrick, Darrelle Revis, Antonio Cromartie, Buster Skrine! and Brandon Marshall and the team dramatically turns things around to go 10-6 and just lose out on the playoffs by a tiebreaker. Mike Maccagnan is named the Executive of the Year and the outlook is bright for the team on the brightest stage in the league, right?
    Of course, we all know how things went last year for the Jets because money only solves problems short-term. Wasted picks on most notably Bryce Petty, Devin Smith and Christian Hackenburg, deprived the team of depth, the older veterans started getting hurt or showed signs of diminished skills, and the defense was gassed from an offense that averaged 10.8 points per game in their 12 losses. They also almost (should have) lost to the hapless Browns last year after being down 20-3 at halftime. It was the game last year where I said I was reorganizing my basement, screw the Browns, until I received 50 texts saying the Browns were playing great. I walked up to a local place to watch the second half, ended up staying… geez, look at my essay here. Even this is falling apart. Is this what happens to you after gorging on cheddar bay biscuits and overly buttered semi-fresh crab legs?
    Needless to say, that oh-so-close Jets team is now vehemently denying rumors they are tanking this season. Hmm, where have I seen this before? I’m banking on a steady diet of McCoy scoring one more touchdown than Josh McCown and his misfit wide receivers can muster.

    The Cuuuuuuuuugs

    • TS_Butler

      Maybe Mitch did realize that tweet would live forever, and he just wanted the world to know.

  • OREGON -14.
    LOUISVILLE -10.
    UTAH -1.
    SOONERS +7.5

    • Skins +1. I’m a Kirk Cousins guy through and through. Wish the Brownies had made a deal. He’s gonna be elite.

      $$$
      Falcons -7. Name a single player on the Bears. Who starts. Problem is, Jordan Howard is a freak but no one can get him the rock. Falcons are upset. They blew a big lead. A really big lead. And that’s fine. You can’t be upset anymore because the talent on this team is insane and they’re gonna win by a million. I’ve been in Chicago nearly 4 years now, and this is as poor as a team as I’ve seen. The GM is on his last stand and I’m not sure if they win more games than the Browns. People here aren’t too impressed and I think Glennon is gonna get worked, even before Matty Ice goes to work.

  • thatsfine

    UBuffalo +16.5

    • thatsfine

      Rutgers -5 – I rarely pick a favorite. But, Rutgers hung in there against UW last week and looked respectable for a minute or two. They dominated time of possession and were physical at the line of scrimmage, which would go a long way to covering here.
      Hawaii +23.5 – Can a team have a let-down spot after scoring 35 unanswered, 28 of which came in the 4th quarter? I think so.
      Tulane +13 – Essay
      Oklahoma +7.5

      Good morning from Oregon. The winds have shifted and are coming from the Pacific, so ash is no longer falling from the sky and my front yard doesn’t smell like a campground for the first time in 3 weeks. I hope everyone does well with whatever weather-related catastrophe you’re dealing with this weekend.

      Tulane in Willie Fritz’s 2nd year as coach. Still with a solid defense, now a full year of running the triple option so everyone knows what they’re supposed to be doing. Tulane managed to keep it within 7 last year at home against Navy in Fritz’s second game as coach, only passing for 21 yards in that effort. The good news is their new QB Jonathan Banks passed for 185 and 3TDs on 10/15 last week. Granted, that was against Grambling, but at least calling a go-route or a cross on 3rd down is an option this year. Banks is a Juco transfer that spent a year at Kansas State, and was once considered a 4-star recruit. He’s a dual threat and well suited to run the system. Tulane’s defense returns 8 starters and is a good unit, they ranked 34th total D in FBS last year without much support from the offense. The public is all over Navy here, and the line is down to 10, so let’s take the Green Wave at +13 to keep it interesting.

      • thatsfine

        I love having a true west coast prime time game
        Let’s finish with Chargers +3.5

  • Arrived at my parents to see this on the counter – an auspicious sign from the universe, I believe. https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/cbf600967c0fd4c63220336b3e124ef65877eb851bc921b674dfa2fa8ba891e8.jpg

  • Nick

    Falcons -7 vs Bears
    Browns +9 vs Steelers
    OSU -7.5 vs Okla
    Iowa -2.5 vs Iowa St.
    Louisville -10 vs UNC
    Cardinals -2 vs Lions
    The best thing that happened to me this week occurred Wednesday when I was carrying my 3 month old around in his bedroom and he made some sounds looking out the window towards the bird feeder. I looked out and didn’t see anything, then asked aloud if he saw anything, and about 10 seconds later, a pair of beautiful Cardinals swooped in and had a nice afternoon snack. Therefore, I really like the Arizona Cardinals to open up with a road win against the Detroit Lions. Why is Jim Caldwell still coaching an NFL team? I can’t name many players on Detroit and the Cards have at least another year of high octane regular season competitiveness.

  • Jaxbch Josh

    EAGLES
    TEXANS
    PACKERS.STEELERS
    OKLAHOMA
    CLEMSON ESSAY

    Updated picks with nfl mixed in

  • 1. Wisconsin -31.5
    2. UNC-Charlotte +36
    3. San Diego St. +3
    4. All Play: OSU -7.5
    5. Essay: WVU -24

    Essay: West Virginia -24

    WVU has local legend Will Grier at QB, who looked to be well on his way to success at UF before his PED suspension. After a year and a half out of college football Grier is back and showed some promise last week, along with some rust. This week, expect more of that promise that could have him as a top college QB again and less of the rust. On the flip side, ECU is coming off a week 1 loss to James Madison of FCS fame. JMU totaled more than 600 yards of offense against ECU, but also had 14 penalties for 172 yards called against them, otherwise they could have won by a lot more than the 34-14 final score. While both teams are looking for a bounce back, only one of these teams has a potentially elite QB. If ECU’s offense couldn’t stop JMU, as good as they are for a FBS team, I don’t hold much hope they’re stopping WVU and for that, I’ll take WVU to easily cover.

    Back tomorrow with NFL pick.

    Also, to the question of what app for sport scores… Know you said you prefer to avoid ESPN, but I’ve cycled through most of the apps and rested on the ESPN app. One large factor is the ability to stream games (provided you got the right cable/streaming service subscription) and local ESPN radio stations right from the app. I’ve also found the app to be one of the most reliable/quick for notifications if I have that set for a game I want updates on (Android user).

  • squeekycleen

    ESSAY: MIZZOU —> Note – I switched up the plays and reentered them. Mizzou looked literally atrocious last week vs non-FCS opponent serving up nearly 40 in the 1h. South Carolina on the other hand pulled a surprising upset vs NCSt. Is Mizzou bad? Maybe. Is South Carolina good? Maybe. But this line is heavily influenced by last week’s results. Mizzou has had a lot of turmoil, but they have a capable squad and a schedule that could lead them to a bowl, if they win games like this. I think you see a max effort. Giving a shot with Mizzou essay:

    Others:
    USC
    Jags
    Auburn
    UVa

    All Play: Ohio St.

  • Score updates delayed today!*

    I got a wild hair and am headed to Michie for Army/UB. Fuck yes, it’s 20 miles away, why wouldn’t I?
    Shoot, so put me in for Army -16.5. Also Oklahoma and Clemson. Back tomorrow with essay and such as.

    *Shout to my alt admin, you know who you are, feel free to update score if you’re around and up for it.

  • clayII

    tOSU (-7.5)
    Iowa St (+2.5)
    Tulane (+13)
    USC (-6.5)
    Minnesota (+2.5)

    monday night essay

    • Hawkaholic

      Fuck the clowns.

    • clayII

      essay
      Chargers (+3.5)

      As it is week 1 and i am the worst essay writer, i will take “San Diego” and the points. 3.5 is the main reason, rivers is the master of the back door, even if they dont always win, he gives them a shot. denver just picked up osweiler and didnt have a gun to their head. and TJ Ward isnt a HOF’er, but losing a guy like that can set a D back a little, at least at first. give me the points

  • Brian

    NAVY -14 because Tulane isn’t good and stopping the triple option is easy for no one
    FALCONS -7 Mike Glennon isn’t good and he’s already on the hot seat before the season starts
    UCLA -23.5 Hawaii is bad and after last week UCLA showed they can score a few points
    UTAH -1 I’ve watched BYU 2 times year and they look bad across the board. Utah is usually competent
    OHIO STATE -7.5 The big 12 can’t play defense which means OSU needs to make 1 stop, I think they will
    ***ESSAY***
    NOTRE DAME -4
    Due to the fact that I am in South Bend this week for the game, I am picking ND to cover. Georgia playing with a backup QB and Notre Dame having a Night game sounds like a good combination for a win. Wimbush looked decent in his debut and Notre Dame pounded the rock on the ground. For once their defense looked pretty good as well. But in all honesty this is a total Diehard Fan pick and one of the words above really mean anything today. So give me the Irish -4 to steam roll Georgia for 3 of those delicious and luxurious biscuits

  • trashycamaro

    Ohio State for the all play, everything else later today.

    • trashycamaro

      Washington Football Team +1 over Eagles

      Lions +2 over Cardinals

      Cowboys -3.5 over Giants

      49ers +5.5 over Panthers

      Essay: Rams -3.5 over Colts

      I one wrote an essay that was “Scott Tolzien” copied and pasted 50 times. It hit the 100 word minimum but the executive committee decided it was not good enough. This is to explain why I am not pasting “Scott Tolzien” 50 times into this box.

      At the end of the day though, we have Tolzien and Gore v. a pretty good defense in LARms, and on the other side we have a little better than Tolzien QB in Goff + Gurley v. a pretty bad defense in Indy. Indy did add some new pieces including Cleveland fav Jabaal Sheard, but even if they are a better unit it will likely still take some time to come together.

      But really, this is all about Scott Tolzien. You want rating – 66.4 career. As Browns fans, you know what that number means. QBR? Somewhere between 23-26. DVOA? -33.6 (you want a positive number there).

      So, in memoriam, Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien Scott Tolzien

  • Hawkaholic

    Syracuse -10
    Navy -13
    Arkansas +3 Hogs at home, Bielema always has them ready to play early in the season
    Skins +1 at home against the Eagles
    AP: THE Ohio State University -7.5
    Essay: Iowa -2.5 on the road against little brother

    Hawk fans are a little on edge this week fearing a close one with the Cyclones and even (gasp) a possible upset. Iowa didn’t exactly fire on all cylinders last week against Wyoming but i think we got the first game jitters out of the way and i don’t think Stanley will turn the ball over 3 times again this week. Iowa State was the beneficiary of two pick 6’s last week against Northern Iowa and squeaked out a win 42-24. This isn’t exactly the greatest Iowa team to lace them up in the Nationally acclaimed Cy-Hawk series but the old adage of defense defense defense will win out. Iowa’s offensive line is far superior and the one-two punch of Akrum Wadley and James Butler will wear down the Cyclone defense. Iowa State will load the box with 9 or 10 all day so a couple of key Stanley completions early will be key. i do believe Allen Lazard, Iowa State’s best player will get his yards and will have a good game as Iowa’s secondary is a little suspect. But i do believe it is that Iowa defense, led by Josey Jewel that will be the ultimate difference maker forcing multiple Iowa State turnovers and will put a lot of pressure on Jacob Park (in case you are wondering their QB from last year switched to middle linebacker. You don’t see that very often).

    I am not worried about this one, our big test comes in two weeks against Penn State. Hawks roll in this one 35-17

    • Hawkaholic

      Iowa!

  • HEY. ABOUT THE PENDING COMMENT THING!

    After the ChuckTaylor comment got filtered to spam earlier this week I decided to click on ‘pre-moderate comments’ for Disqus. It turns out this means that I needed to approve all comments. It’s off now and we should be all set and all comments made during that time should be visible now.
    ALSO, also picks made in those comments will be honored (not sure if that affects anyone).

    Thanks and sorry about that.

  • Matt Borcas

    Fresno State +44 over Bama
    Ohio State -7.5 over Oklahoma
    Stanford +6.5 over USC
    Clemson -5 over Auburn

    • Matt Borcas

      Jets for 1 point

    • Matt Borcas

      ESSAY: Vikings -3.5 over Saints

      I’m not buying into the Adrian Peterson Revenge Game hype train on account of (1) Sean Payton’s lack of interest in the ground game, (2) Minny’s fierce defense, and (3) the fact that Mark Ingram might be more effective than Peterson anyways. Drew Brees is mortal away from the Superdome, and Sam Bradford and Dalvin Cook will move the ball against the New Orleans defense, which gave up the second-most points in the NFL last season. Gregg Williams isn’t around to fix things, so expect the same woeful Saints D we’ve seen in recent years.

  • John

    Rest of my picks *beaming from getting my essay right*

    BYU + 1 over Utah
    Cincinnati +34 to Michigan
    Cowboys -3.5 to the Giants
    Cardinals +2 to the Lions
    *all play* OSU -7.5 to Oklahoma

    • I am tweaked at myself for overlooking that game last night particularly since Purdue destroyed UL (and my essay) last week. The Boilers might could be decent this year.

  • CLEinMSP

    Tulane +13
    MSU -7
    Stanford +6.5
    Georgia +4
    Ohio State -7.5 (All Play)
    Titans -2 (Essay – Skip Week)

  • Capitalgg

    [All-play] Ohio St. -7.5 v. Oklahoma: I wouldn’t pick the other way anyway, but I really think OSU wins by 3 scores here.
    1. Rams -3.5 v. Colts: Scott Tolzien on the road. Also, I think the Rams might be surprisingly good this year if they get anything at all from the QB position. Almost my essay.
    2. Penn St. -21 v. Pitt: Revenge spot for Penn St. Pitt gon’ get smashed!
    3. Army -16.5 v. Buffalo: You heard it here first… Army sings first in December.
    4. 49ers +5.5 v. Panthers: Niners have been very good in week 1, even when they’ve been a bad team. Bonus: improved coaching this year.

    Missed several excellent targets for money making thus far this week because I didn’t have time to get in on Okie St. Friday night action.

    But I saw a line that absolutely mystified me as I was ranking them this week. And best of all it’s in a flailing rivalry game.

    When Utah left for the Pac-12, it abandoned the best named rivalry in college football… The Holy War.

    Last week, BYU got manhandled by LSU. This was BYU’s 2nd game of the season, when you would expect them to show their most improvement between games 1 and 2. Game 1 was a horror show as they won a listless game against Portland St.

    Utah took a traditional week 1 FCS cupcake and handled their business, going up 7-3 early in the 2nd quarter and never really looking back. Utah consistantly contends for the Pac-12
    South. I expect them to smother BYU in this one and I’m so confident that this is my PICK OF THE YEAR!!!

    Utah -1 @ BYU

  • Matt Lawrence

    Ohio +4.5 (L)
    Louisville -10
    Indiana -2.5
    Minnesota +2.5
    Oklahoma +7.5 (goes against everything in my core)
    Texans -5.5 (ESSAY)

    My essay last week involved Tom Herman bringing a big opening win for the state of Texas in wake of Hurricane Harvey. That didn’t work out so well. So now I turn to the Houston Texans, where JJ Watt returns to the field after a season ending injury the year before, all while raising over $30 million to assist Harvey victims.

    But let’s get in to the football side of things. The Texans finished near the top 10 in total defense in 2016, in which they were missing JJ Watt for a majority of the season. JJ Watt is healthy again and I fully expect the Texans to be one of the best defenses in the league. They couldn’t have asked for a better home opener against Blake Bortles and the Jacksonville Jaguars. Blake Bortles may be one of the worst QB’s I have ever seen and videos of his receivers yelling “keep it in bounds” only support that fact. And is Doug Marrone still the coach? Tom Coughlin needs to send the two of them packing. But, while they are still joined at the hip, I will take the Texans -5.5.

  • Jmacdaddio

    All Play:

    Oklahoma +7.5
    OrSt -2.5
    Clemson -5
    WVU -24 (Essay)
    Jets +9.5
    Packers -3

    West Virginia isn’t in the path of any natural disasters this week. Historically they’re a tough team to beat at home, and East Carolina isn’t striking fear into the hearts of anyone lately. They lost big at home to JMU, and aren’t they a FCS school? Meanwhile WVU played Virginia Tech tough. Saturday in Morgantown is a recipe for a blowout.

    Sunday the Jets have a chance to win outright, leading to a 5-11 season and the fifth pick. Even when they lose, they lose.

  • jdoepke

    Stellar start last week at 0-6. Let’s change that…

    Oklahoma +7 (AP)
    Bears +7
    Titans -2
    Iowa St +2.5
    Fresno St +44

    Essay: Tulane +13
    Yup, you heard right, the Greenwave. I know ZERO about this team. I know they’re 1-0. No idea who they played. I know the line opened at Navy -13 and it’s now down to 11. I know 81% of the public is on Navy. Why is the line dropping? I’m sure I’ll go down in flames here looking like an idiot but we’ll roll the dice and take Tulane to cover. Navy 28 Tulane 17.

    • Hawkaholic

      Fuck the clowns

  • cwonder23

    WMU +7
    Indiana -2.5
    UCLA -23.5
    Lions +2
    All Play: Oklahoma +7.5
    Essay: Iowa -2.5
    Iowa showed they have a great defense last week against a “Heisman” candidate, Josh Allen. Josey Jewell is a great linebacker and I expect Iowa to dominate the line. Put Akrun Wadley out wide a few times in the game and run Butler down the Cyclones throats. This is obviously a rivalry game but I think the size and power of the Iowa lines and running game will win this one. Iowa 24 – Iowa State 7.

    • Hawkaholic

      So so proud of you cwonder!

    • cwonder23

      Pulling Lions for Cowboys -3.5

  • Lucy Lawrence

    1. Auburn +5 @ Clemson: Going against the public here. Plus I like Auburns d-line to give Clemson’s inexperienced QB hell.
    2. Louisville -10 @ UNC : explosive offense against a team I believe stinks.
    3. Titans -2 vs OAK: Betting against the team that has to travel across country and play at 1pm
    4. Niners +5.5: Like Hoyer back with Shanahan…I’ll take the points
    5. All Play Oklahoma +7.5 : The extra 1/2 point put me over the edge here.
    6. Essay: Indiana -2 @ UVA

    I’ve been on the UVA campus during football season. If I wasn’t a degenerate bettor/sports fan I would have had no clue a home football game was about to be played. I’m pretty confident the students had no idea what time the game started and tailgating was a foreign word to them. That being said, its pretty obvious they lack home field advantage. I do have a fear that this game is a trap after the way Indiana played against OSU last week but I’m wiling to take the risk. Speaking of last week, Indiana was able to put up 420 passing against OSU’s pro-caliber secondary and I expect them to do the same or even more to UVA’s defense. I don’t believe the Cavaliers will be able to keep up with Indiana’s scoring therefore the -2 shouldn’t be a problem. Give me Big10 football any day over the ACC.

    • Lucy Lawrence

      Sorry Indiana -2.5

  • Harbaugh Handshakes

    Oh st -7.5
    Minnesota +2.5
    Louisville -10
    Bengals-3
    Rams -3
    Browns +9essay
    It sucks garrets out this week but I’ll take the 9 points at home. The Browns defense is legit and Greg Williams is a game changer when it comes to the game plan. We should put pressure on Big Ben all day and with Haden gone limit the big td’s that killed us last year.

    On offense,The browns should be able to run the ball and not put Kizer in position to make the big mistake. Our offensive line is legit and the Crowe should be able to pound the steelers into submission.

    9 point dog at home give me the points. Go browns.

  • pheasantpants

    Minnesota +2.5 at Oregon State—Pajamas rows into Corvallis for a victory.
    Rutgers -5 vs. EMU—EMU is continuing its rebuild, but Rutgers was solid against last year’s playoff team Washington, and its Big Ten athletes should carry the day. Ypsilanti is last alphabetically on the list of cities hosting FBS programs.
    All play: OU +7.5 at OSU—Agnes said she’d jump all over the Sooners if the Buckeyes laid more than seven, and that’s good enough for me. Bucks had trouble with Richard Lagow, and Baker Mayfield is a bit better than he is.

    • pheasantpants

      Notre Dame -4.5 vs. UGA

      • pheasantpants

        Falcons -7 at Bears to round the week out.

    • pheasantpants

      Minnesota +2.5 essay

      Pajamas PJ Fleck has arrived in the Twin Cities with all of the gimmicky flair that any one coach can muster. This is probably exactly the sort of thing a program like Minnesota needs. The B1G West is an eminently winnable division most years, and Minnesota has as much business as anyone competing for it. The Gophers had a little something going with Jerry Kill, but Pajamas and the Gophers are clearly betting on each other’s upside—especially Pajamas, who probably could have held out another season at WMU and landed a marquis job this season.

      Oregon State has done very little since Gary Andersen inexplicably departed what is surely the most comfortable job in the B1G to take the reins in Corvallis. Through two games, they’re allowing 45 ppg and 6.34 yards per play, and the opponents have been a not-great CSU team, and FCS Portland State. But that’s not all. Opponents have racked up 482 yards and six TDs on the ground in those two games.

      Minnesota slept-walk through its sole game so far, a 17-7 home win against low-tier MAC squad Buffalo. But Minnesota did a lot of things well in that game, and most importantly for tonight’s game, I thought the offensive line played very well.

      When a team that rushed for 3.3 yards per carry meets a team that is allowing 5.0 ypc, something tends to give. Well, I have an idea about which party will yield ground. Portland State possessed the ball for 36 minutes last week, racking up 28 first downs, 515 yards of offense, and *294* yards in the run game on 51 carries.

      Yes, the gap between FCS and FBS programs has narrowed, but middling Big Sky clubs should not be rushing for 300 yards on a Pac 12 squad, as a rule. I like Minnesota to get the run game on track on the road, and to win this contest outright.

  • Dave Borcas

    Picks this week……
    Notre Dame -4.5
    South Florida -17.5
    Louisville -10
    Ohio State -7.5 (all play)
    Bengals -3
    Falcons -7 (essay)
    The Falcons still have a very bad taste in their mouth. The Bears may just be the team to pay the price for blowing that lead in the Super Bowl. Chicago is in the wait mode for the arrival of Mitchell Trubisky under center. Mike Glennon was a big investment for the Bears, so he gets the nod. The Bears are in a rebuild mode. The secondary is new and I’m sure has Matt Ryan, Julio Jones and Taylor Gabriel drooling. The Falcons will emphasize D and running the ball to shorten games and run the clock so they can protect big leads. If the Bears don’t run the ball they will struggle mightily on offense. I see a 38-17 Falcons win.see more0

  • Dave Borcas

    Picks this week……
    Notre Dame -4.5
    South Florida -17.5
    Louisville -10
    Ohio State -7.5 (all play)
    Bengals -3
    Falcons -7 (essay)
    The Falcons still have a very bad taste in their mouth. The Bears may just be the team to pay the price for blowing that lead in the Super Bowl. Chicago is in the wait mode for the arrival of Mitchell Trubisky under center. Mike Glennon was a big investment for the Bears, so he gets the nod. The Bears are in a rebuild mode. The secondary is new and I’m sure has Matt Ryan, Julio Jones and Taylor Gabriel drooling. The Falcons will emphasize D and running the ball to shorten games and run the clock so they can protect big leads. If the Bears don’t run the ball they will struggle mightily on offense. I see a 38-17 Falcons win.

  • pheasantpants

    Boilers -4.5 vs. Ohio.

  • Matt Lawrence

    Ohio +4.5

  • CharlesTaylorAllStars

    I couldn’t figure out why the post with my picks had disappeared. I checked my profile and saw that it had been “detected as spam.” I’ve honestly never been more proud.

    • :-/ reviewing admin screens…

  • GRRustlers

    Week 2 Picks

    MSU (-7) over WMU – I believe in Sparty this year.

    Falcons (-7) over Bears – I understand that taking anything from the 4th preseason game is a special kind of stupid but I’ve seen enough bad football in Cleveland to say that if any of you here are Bears fans I’ll have a drink for you Sunday because holy shit John Fox should just drink during the game.

    Panthers (-5.5) over 49ers – I’ll have a whole year to work on PowerPoint jokes.

    Minnesota (+2.5) over Oregon State – This is tough because I hate boats but if I learned anything from watching Colorado State it’s that Oregon State might be the worst Power 5 team.

    AP – OSU (-7.5) over Oklahoma – I think Indiana is good…and the Buckeyes are going to be just fine.

    Essay Pick

    Couple of thoughts on my essay pick last week because I was too angry about the line to form a coherent thought. I saw that line drop to 3 last week and literally lost my mind.

    When a Power 5 team that won 10 games last year returns the entire offensive line, the top three wideouts, your best running back, and a young QB who got some time in because of an injured senior QB they are going to be pretty good.

    Second somewhat off topic issue related to Cheddar Bay…I have seen a fair amount of Colorado State fans roaming the Buffs websites complaining about the PAC12 officiating crew on Friday. If at any point in your life you decide to risk money or cheddar points on a game with a PAC12 crew you have to be ready for the fact that any point that man in stripes could pull a red card while simultaneously humping a pylon in the end zone.

    The Buffs took a quick 17 point lead on Friday and kind of just chilled out and were never in any danger of losing. They looked out of sync and made a ton of mistakes on offense and did not give the ball to Lindsay anywhere near as much as they should have. The defense though…I’m excited.

    Colorado (-35.5) over Texas State

  • CharlesTaylorAllStars

    50/50 week to start the season, but when you miss the money ball, it always feels like a loser. The only thing in that game that really surprised me was Florida’s o-line. Just impossibly bad.

    Anyway…more games that I liked this week. Had to cross a few off rather than taking blind stabs. This means, of course, I’ll go 1-5. Historical precedent suggest rather strongly that the better an idea I think something this the more quickly and throughly it destroys me.

    NYJ +9 @ BUF – I’m sorry, but didn’t Buffalo just trade away 2 of their 3 best players for draft picks? I know the Jets are bad, but this has to be one of the worst teams in history ever to be laying 9 points. The points might cover themselves.

    LAR -3 @ IND – I’m sorry, but with the Colts missing their best players on offense and defense, what exactly are they good at? They have a shitty o-line, a 59 year-old running back, decent receivers who Scott Tolzien can’t throw to because Scott Tolzien, a below average front 7 on defense, etc. The Rams are more talented and at home. I’lll lay the field goal.

    PITT +21 @ PENN ST – get outta here man. Pitt won this game last year. And while the players are all too young to remember, this was a longstanding rivalry. Just too many points in a game like this.

    MINN + 2.5?!?!? @ ORE ST – I literally couldn’t understand this line. I don’t mean that I couldn’t, like, intellectually process it after considering the relative strengths and weaknesses of the teams. I mean I looked at it my brain shut off. Oregon State should never be favored. Not over a party hat full of frosting. Not over a old hat. Not over an old coffee cup Mike Riley left in the film room. Never.

    ESSAY: After picking against Michigan last week almost entirely out of spite didn’t work out for me, you’d think I would learn a lesson. Alas, in accordance with my standing policy of not learning from my mistakes, I did not.

    Fuck Notre Dame, right? Like, fuck that fat belligerent fuck who coaches them, fuck their 5 star recruits who go there and suddenly run a 4.72 40, fuck there fan base composed primarily of Catholics who didn’t go to any college, much less ND, and who have spent 4-6 hours watching ND football for every 1 hour they have ever spent in church. Fuck the whole rotten thing.

    BUT ALSO: They beat Temple. This is not an accurate barometer of your teams viability. I still don’t think they are any good. Georgia’s win against App. State was a better one. Georgia’s weakness is on with their passing game right now, between the Eason injury and the kids on the line. But I don’t think Georgia will need to throw to win this game. They returned their entire defense from last year and they looked super fast against App. St. And ND doesn’t have much of a pass rush.

    BUT ALSO: Fuck Notre Dame.

    • CharlesTaylorAllStars

      GOD DAMN IT. I somehow picked the Seahawks on the form instead of Pitt.

      WTF is wrong w/ me? Don’t answer that.

      On the plus side: Fuck Notre Dame.

      • We got this, no prob. You’re credited with that Pitt pick.

  • The Cuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuugs

    I am picking Patriots tonight for the exact same reasons Frowns stated. Be back tomorrow with the rest of my picks.

    You always remember your first… LobsterFest!

  • Peter Wendler

    First of all, thoughts and prayers to those in the path of that asshole, Hurricane Irma. For this weeks essay, I look to the CyHawk Series. Overall, Iowa has dominated the pitch in this underrated rivalry. With no professional sports teams in the Hawkeye State, Iowans view this game as “our” Super Bowl.

    Coming off a dominating defensive performance against Josh Allen of Wyoming, the Hawkeyes look to play hard-nosed Ferentz Ball against an underwhelming Iowa State squad in Ames. Homefield shouldn’t be a problem, and the Hawks take it 27-13.

    2.) Clemson -7
    3.) Golden Gophers +2.5
    4.) Louisville -10
    5.) Sparty -7
    All-Play) Urban Meyer -7.5

    • Peter Wendler

      my apologies, forgot NFL was this week. Off Golden Gophers and on Redskins +1

  • Late last season I had talked myself into the Chiefs being a team that could/would keep the Patriots from winning another Super Bowl. But then, going into their divisional round matchup against the Steelers, everybody and their mother was voting Chiefs (I think the distribution was something like 10-1 in the Cheddar Bay playoffs, or maybe it was a lopsided Chiefs essay count) so I backed off and went with Pittsburgh in what turned out to be an extremely ugly and ridiculous Steelers win and cover. The Chiefs thus went into the offseason as a sad joke while the Pats have as much of an aura of inevitability coming into this season as they’ve ever had. I suppose those impressions are probably each overblown re: tonight’s matchup and I don’t suppose the Chiefs will be inclined to mail the opener in (as opposed to had they come into Foxboro with a 7-1 or 6-2 record in November or something), and it’s basically the same Chiefs team as last year except for healthier, so I’ll throw myself in front of the Pats train and go with the Chiefs +9 for my vote of the week this week.

    Back with the others later.

    • 1) Chiefs +9 over Pats (vote of the week) W
      2) Ohio University +4.5 over Purdue.

      Back with more tomorrow, which is already shaping up to be a wild day thanks to my wife’s votes below. I’m really looking forward to flipping back and forth between EMU/Rutgers on one Big Ten Network and WMU/Michigan State on the other at 3:30. If last year was the year of the directional Michigans, what does that make this year? Feels a lot like another year of the directional Michigans to me.

      • 3) North Carolina +10 over Louisville
        4) EMU +5 over Rutgers
        5) Ohio State -7.5 over Oklahoma
        6) Colts +3.5 over Rams

  • Troy Bunting

    **Essay Pick***
    HOLY WAR UTAH -1

    When the game kicks off Saturday night, it will have been 2,842 days since BYU last beat Utah. BYU should be prepared to tack on another year. After barely getting by a middle of the pack BigSky FCS Portland state (20-6, with a defensive int TD) and then getting smoked by LSU 27-0 last week, BYU isn’t deserving of a FBS win. Offense is shaky, QB makes mistakes under pressure and the o-line has plenty of holes. The defense is good but not very deep. BYUs independent status makes recruiting pretty tough. Utah had a strong showing week 1 against FCS BigSky Champion North Dakota 37-16 including a ND garbage time td. Offense had 1 bad drive (opening drive) but opened up their offense. Fresh of his DUI and Oregon dismissal, Darren Carrington did exactly what he did at Oregon for the last 3 years, caught the ball and got YAC 10 receptions for 127 and 1 TD. The Utah defense continues to be strong with a deep front 7. The backend is young but fast and talented. Big win Utah.

    • John

      no.

  • Chris Magee

    Another first year dumb question- when do lines lock? Or when you submit your picks the current line at that time is the line?

    • Chris Magee

      Just read the rules

      • actually i love easy questions and answers that make sense. yes, we lock wednesday morning do so mainly because we haven’t devised a way to validate time stamps on moving lines.

  • Dave Kolonich

    I found out there’s no such thing as beginner’s luck with Cheddar Bay. Nowhere to go but up…..or at least sideways.

    Stanford +6.5
    Penn State -21
    Tennessee Titans -2
    NY Jets +9.5
    OSU -7.5

    ESSAY – Steelers -9

    Back to reality Brownies….All those puff pieces about Gregg Williams’ salty vocabulary and shutting down crews of preseason third-stringers tugged at the last remaining tissues of my scarred Browns’ heart. But the sad karma of Joe Haden finally getting help over the top and Myles Garrett morphing into Courtney Brown only mask the reality that the Browns still probably can’t stop the run. Not to mention – I have no clue who covers Antonio Brown four years ago – let alone this weekend.

    There’s just too much in the air here – Haden, protests, police – let’s get Kizer through a game and take a breath next week. Hope everyone stays safe – on the field and off.

  • Jaxbch Josh

    Btw Can we pick NFL too or just college.
    Inquiring minds wanna know for week 3?

    • Yes sir,you must include at least one pro pick and one college pick. The mix is up to you. Some guys skew toward the pro side some to college. Either way.

      • Jaxbch Josh

        Gotcha

  • Jaxbch Josh

    Dabo Sweeny just got a pay raise, Gus
    has been rumored to be on the hot seat. Both teams looked good in week 1, but word on the Street is Gus Used to bully Dabo bc of his name and he would take his lucky butterfinger Dabo would carry during lunch time. Dabo hasnt forgot and plans on running up the score on the war eagles.

    Clemson-6
    Missy st-8
    Oregon st -1
    Ohio St -7.5 (line is 5 now btw)
    USC -3

    which way to Vegas?

  • HitTheHorns

    Hurricane here in Florida has been all consuming this week so taking my essay skip.
    Titans -2 (essay pick)
    Browns +9
    Ravens +3
    Broncos -3.5
    Ohio State -7.5
    UVA +2.5

  • Art Briles Hirer

    Alright folks, getting an early start after being caught off guard for week 1. Last year, I definitely didn’t put 100% into my picks for my first Cheddar year. But thanks to the joys of self-employment, I can now devote all necessary energies into the picks. And I will have to, because I’ll need the winnings to pay my mortgage.

    OSU -7.5 over Oklahoma
    Kansas -6 over CMU
    MSU -7 over WMU
    Iowa -2.5 over ISU
    Clemson -5 over Auburn
    Texans -5.5 over Jags

    Essay likely to be MSU, but I’ll decide that tomorrow.

    You might want to put a note in the main post about the postponed games (Miami v. Ark St, Bucs v. Dolphins). Also noticed that some college teams were grouped in with NFL teams in the drop down menu, not sure if that matters.

    PS Please let us pick CFL teams

    • Art Briles Hirer

      Alright folks, you’re getting an Iowa essay, because it’s my most confident pick and I need those points.

      Look, rivalry games get dicey all the time. Iowa St likes to play spoiler and has shocked the world on occasion. Matt Campbell is a solid coach who did a really great job taking over Toledo. He knows how to coach offense, and it showed last week against Northern Iowa. But this is a 3-9 team from last season. It’s not a particularly distinguished coaching staff. It’s a lot of the same players from last season. Simply put, I don’t know where the 2.5 point line comes from.

      This feels like it should be -7.5. I’d probably pass on a line like that. But less than 3? I mean shit, even if I thought Iowa would squeak out a close game, I’d feel good about taking them. But the fact is, Iowa looked fantastic last week against the alleged top QB in the 2018 draft. I think it’s ridiculous, but Josh Allen *is* good and he *was* turned into dogmeat by the Iowa defense. I can’t imagine what Jake Park has up his sleeve that’s going to be that much better than Josh Allen.

      So yeah, this is a pick that’s heavily influenced by week one results, and I know that’s not a particularly stable pillar of knowledge. But gimme the Hawks by double digits.

  • agnesbojaxhiu

    Week 2=MAC essay #2

    EMU +5 Rutgers

    I like football numbers-big numbers and little numbers, trends and odds, records and averages. Playing the numbers game is more fun than getting emotionally involved in the actual outcomes (I’ll leave that one for bicycle races). One number that commonly comes up if you are a MAC fan is zero. Last week OU was the big MAC winner with an zero opponent and Akron traveled across state lines to get their zero. I would like to vote for the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions over Akron this week but alas, it’s not a cheddar choice (curses). So who else can give me some juicy zeros. For that I turn to my 2016 excel college spreadsheet. One team really stood out with zeros-Rutgers-so many zeros it left them the lowest scoring FBS team. How much money did the university board take to let their players get creamed by OSU, MSU, Penn and UM? This week they are up against EMU-my favorite ratite (I’ve been waiting a long time to get that word into an essay) whose lowest scoring game last year was 21 points and who actually beat more than 2 teams. Plus the actually won last week and covered the spread. Yet somehow they are getting the points? Maybe this is a sucker’s bet but I will take them.

    More fun expected with:
    Steelers-9 vs Browns
    WMU +7 vs MSU
    OU +4.5 vs Purdue
    Kansas -6 vs CMU
    Okla +7.5 (I asked Frowns what the all play was going to be this week. When he told me I said I would take Oklahoma if they were given at least 7. Hee here hee. Sometimes you get what you want)

    • actovegin1armstrong

      “bicycle races”?? Velodrome, road or ATB? DId not see the recording yet, but Froome survived his jour sans, or a portent of things to come?

      • agnesbojaxhiu

        Give me castles, mountains, oceans, sheep, super fit hill-climbing fans, British announcers and lots of broken bones. I’m a few days behind and just watching stage 14 of la vuelta right now.

        • actovegin1armstrong

          Love it! I used to sit at the back of the peleton in our local nobody races providing commentary in my Phil Liggett voice. For every moronic early attack, ala the 1990 Worlds, “There they go! All the medals are up the road. If they are going to want to win The Worlds they shall have to chase them now.” Of course every few minutes I would burst out with “They must have green beans every day. I do not know why!”

    • actovegin1armstrong

      No please, do not tell me

    • agnesbojaxhiu

      EMU is so good its listed with the pros in the drop down menu.

      • actovegin1armstrong

        But they are the EMU eagles. That has to be a bad sign

    • i read this as EMU essay and picks are Steelers, WMU, OU, KU, and Okla. Is that correct?

  • actovegin1armstrong

    ****Super Elastic Essay Plastic**** PoTY most assuredly incorrect- Browns +9
    AP OSU -7.5
    Patrois -9
    UCF -3
    Ohio +4.5
    Stanford +6.5

    • actovegin1armstrong

      The Browns should be 20 point favorites in this game against Pittsburgh. They have a genius new staff that managed to take a loyal player, make him into a spy then they topped it all off by Putin him right amongst their most evil enemy.
      Said agent, we shall call him Secret Squirrel, will not only deliver the Steelers’ playbook to the Browns, Secret Squirrel will be missing tackles, dropping potential interceptions, completely blowing coverages et cetera. In other words Secret Squirrel will brilliantly “out Browns” the Browns.
      Myles Garrett will be limping around on an injured ankle most assuredly doing permanent damage to what was once something not quite exactly unlike a potentially, mostly promising, NFL career.
      The Browns Offensive line has been showing terrific potential too, however with some surprising moves, squandered potential and good ol’ Browns’ ingenuity, they have everything whimpering to a halt there. Maybe in a couple of years Joe Thomas.
      This is a complete homer pick, but I still believe! Every year a team goes from worst to first in their respective division. It happens almost every year in the perpetually weak AFC North. (Wait… the magic Google says it has never happened in the AFC North.)
      Wow! With my complete lack of knowledge within the realm of probability and statistics I KNOW that it has to happen this year. This is the year for the Browns.
      Who is Mike Hilton? His number may be 40 and he may have had an adequate “40 time”, (most overrated, lied about stat in sports), but he looks slow on the field. I think Duke Johnson could run by him on a deep route, Hilton may not start, but he is expected to play and he will be overmatched by anyone on the Browns, unless Joe Thomas lines up in the slot and he is on a go route. William Gay also looked bad. Even if the Steelers figure out that Secret Squirrel is fixing the game for the Browns and take him out to the firing squad, they may have to play Hilton or Gay and that would be the same thing as fixing the game anyway.
      Burns is an adequate cover guy but he tackles like Neon Deion, or more appropriately sidesteps tackles like Neon Deion. Davis, Mitchell and Sensabaugh will not remind anyone of Darrell Green, they are mediocre at best. Unless Secret Squirrel is a double agent the Steelers secondary could look very bad, even against a rookie quarterback.
      The Browns will also be able to run against the Steelers. The Browns offensive line will be able to make some holes. I would love to see the very underrated rookie Matthew Dayes get some playing time.
      If the Browns defensive line can put pressure on Ruthlessraper, Jamie Collins shows up to work, and their secondary does not try to reenact a Keystone Cops movie the Browns will cover that +9. If Secret Squirrel does his job this shall be the biggest Browns’ win over the Steelers ever.
      I remember when the Browns beat the Steelers 51-0 and I know they will double that this week. Final Score: Browns-102 Steelers-0

  • Chris Magee

    1st year question can you do over unders for picks or spread only?

    • picks only.

      • actovegin1armstrong

        Another one of them. We should have some sort of handicapping system like golf. Is it golf?

  • GRRustlers

    The Score is pretty much as good as it gets…coming from a former CFL degenerate who loves the fact it gets pretty much every league on the planet.

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