Jets game reactions.
Let’s bang out some hot takes on yesterday’s fiasco. These are top of my head and no I have not reviewed film. In no order:
Grab Browns over Titans if McCown starts.
If McCown starts next week versus Tennessee, I will jump on the Browns with both feet. Look for enormous over-reaction line movement with Titans’ big win over rookie-QB-no-Mike-Evans Tampa Bay and the Browns apparent throttling by the Jets.
18 point delta.
I calculate 18 points that the god of football arbitrarily took away from the Browns in three plays in the first half:
1.The McCown run, injury, fumble and non-recovery is in itself unlikely to be repeated. Heroic effort by McCown could have just as easily turned into:
- Touchdown with no injury;
- Touchdown via fumble recovery;
- Browns recover at 1;
- Jets recover at 1;
- Jets recover for touchback and no injury.
Instead it’s the worst of all possible outcomes. BUT, let us not forget the predictable false start on first and goal which put McCown in the position of performing that unnatural act? 0 points instead of 7.
2. Gipson’s pick and giveaway led to a jets TD on the next play or the play after that. -7 instead of 0.
3. When Fitzpatrick wasn’t ready for the snap is there any other NFL team that would not only fail to execute a fumble-6 but also fail to recover the ball at all? There were like
four five grown men in a three foot radius of the damn ball on the ground! Resulting drive stalled. 3 points instead of 7.
That’s an 18 point delta in the first half. Given we lost by 21 you can see how these are literally game-changers but in the aggregate not due to personnel or coaching. Just random bad shit. In a just universe, these things even out. Right??
Hey lookit I know he’s supposed to be a pass rush specialist but if we wanted a pass rush guy who gets pancaked on runs wouldn’t it be cheaper and more forward-looking to keep younger, homegrown Billy Winn?
Shelton is ok.
I saw on another board that he caught some hell but I don’t agree. Per Lane Adkins, the Jets started double-teaming him after the half which is exactly what you want from your NT, not to mention your rookie NT in his first pro game matched up against perennial all-pro Nick Mangold. Here’s a shot showing Shelton with penetration forcing Ivory wide. Good play by Shelton. Bad play by Desmond Bryant not containing the edge and allowing 11 yard gain. There were a bunch of these.
What I remember about Belichick and Crennell and Mangini when talking about the 3-4: the NT’s job is to occupy blockers which frees up linebackers to make tackles. Killing Shelton for only one tackle is off-base because that’s not his role.
If you can’t trust Joe Thomas…
Johnny’s last fumble was a strip by Joe Thomas’ man.
Was it Johnny’s fault for leaving the pocket? Maybe. Probably. But that’s Trevor Reilly’s first ever sack and he got it on Joe Thomas.
“Left side line cave-in on two on two, ready, BREAK!”
Felt like we saw a LOT of this. That’s Bitonio getting pushed back. Now then: it could be that there’s a hole there and Crowell was slow reading it and hitting it. Or it could be that Bitonio was getting blown up. Tough to say, but all we know for sure is that it set up a 2nd/13. All we know for sure is that the Browns had 12 second downs with nine or more yards to go.
Donte Whitner is a great story and we all love our Tarbloods coming home. But I don’t think he’s lived up to the price tag and the trend is not up. Here he is trying to bump Chris Ivory to the ground and the result is a nine yard TD.
Punting was good.
The balls of Josh McCown.
If the guy doesn’t get injured, the Browns win. He was prepared to put the whole damn team on his back. Here he is setting up blocks to convert a third down in the first possession. I saw that that 19 play first drive of his was the longest for the Browns in decades. You don’t get that drive without a QB prepared to sell-out to pick up the first first down. There is nothing not to like about him.
And of course Jimmah is a moron but he’s also advised by hipster moron.
I mean… you saw the uniforms right? I mean… you realize the Browns re-branding is an object of fun nationally, right?
Is Haslam hurting for money?
Saw this in theOBR insider forum.
I don’t know if Haslam is hurting. But when I looked into his PFJ Moody’s ratings in 2013 there were signs:
That was a flag and there have been others.
* Its largest competitor in the
truck-stoptravel center business, Flying J, went bankrupt in 2009.
* Not buying the Browns outright with 35% (~$367,500,000) due to Randy Lerner in 2016.
* And now a Moody’s review of all its PFJ ratings, including the previously-downgraded Probability of Default rating.
…. If I might ask a favor of our paid reporters: could someone ask Haslam at the next opportune time whether any of the PFJ senior secured term loans are being using to purchase the Browns? Perhaps a specific question on the seeming coincidence of senior secured term Loan C being roughly equivalent to the remaining amount due Randy Lerner.
Mingo the safety.
Dammit how long have we been pounding the table on this: Barky Mingo’s natural position is safety and not only he has the tool to be a singularly disruptive safety. Here he is breaking up a wide open TD pass:
Absolutely the only guy on the roster capable of making this play; probably one of three in the league who could. I think he’s more a free safety to be honest, but I’m willing to bet both his pass D and run D would be better than Whitner’s at strong.
More to come as I think of it. I’m not about to schoolmarm anyone or be the scold who tells you not to overreact. But I say again: you can profit from over reaction if you’re aware of it. Sunday’s game opened at Browns -4; it’s already down to Browns
-2 -1 +1.