2015 Draft Notes.
(Note! If you’re in NEO, you should go to Frowns’ Draft Party at Map Room. I would if I were there.)
Hi all, let’s do some random draft notes. I haven’t researched the prospects much and I’m content that that’s fine. I.e., I really liked Justin Gilbert last year and I believe my do-not-take list included Kelvin Benjamin and Chris Borland. Caveats: sent. That being said, let’s dive in.
The NT smokescreen.
I do not buy all this Danny Shelton talk nor do I buy the urgent need for a “run-stopper.” Taylor. Kitchen. Hughes. These are run-stoppers. Even healthy Desmond Bryant is a gap stuffer though he’s not know for it. Billy Winn is a gap shooting end. We didn’t have Dansby for four(?) games; Hughes was out EIGHT games. If you want to know why run defense was sub-par, look there. Stop looking at NT. I’ll pass on fat and slow at 12th overall at any position. Browns will too. This is smoke.
Edited to add (4/30): I forgot that PHIL TAYLOR was out for eleven games. That’s Hughes, Dansby, and Taylor out for 25 man-games. That’s aging Ahytba Rubin at NT backed up by Sionne Fua for most of the second half games. You know those back to back 200+ rush yds allowed games vs. Bengals and Panthers? We started Rubin and Kitchen on the line. Hell Kruger was out against the Panthers and notable run-overrunner Barky Mingo started. ALSO… the Johnny Manziel era yielded 13 first downs total in two games versus Bengals and Panthers where the other team had over 200 yards rushing.
BUT OUR RUN D SUCKED SO WE SHOULD DRAFT DANNY SHELTON!!!
Anyway,,, you know what James Bond would say if you told him that a defense with Rubin at NT and Sionne Fua rotating and with Mingo on the edge and Kirksey-Robertson up the middle gave up more than 200 yards to the Bengals? James Bond would say this:
Notably absent from Browns pre-draft talk…
… is Brandon Scherff. If you can take the first o-lineman off the board at 12, you should probably do so. Not only is he the top rated tackle, but the “knock” on him is he might play guard. Ohh kay… and the problem with that is…? Ask a Steeler fan whether they think the first round guard pick of David DeCastro was a wasted pick. I’ve seen at least one mock draft with Scherff available at 12. If Scherff is there, it probably means the big three receivers are gone. If Scherff is there, the Browns take him.
The #1 WR is DeVante Parker.
Readily admit I haven’t poured through
much any tape on other receivers. That’s because I saw all I needed to see at the 2:00 mark of this clip. I’m taking Parker over any other receiver because he’s the athlete who also has the instinct to get the ball. If you have to coach a guy to high point balls with hands and to out-fight d-backs, you don’t have the right professional receiver. Parker has demonstrated that he’s a receiver in the pure sense of the word.
Vic Beasley is on the all-hype team.
I haven’t scouted him. But I did watch probably a half dozen Clemson games and each one was the same: the announcers are armed with talking points and stats to hype Vic Beasley and he winds up being a complete non-factor in the game’s outcome. “Plays soft” was what I recall thinking. Michael Sam had good stats too. Same deal here.
If you can get Todd Gurley at #19 you ought to.
For a RB to be worth a first round pick he needs to be ‘transcendent.’ You cannot really measure that in the combine drills or with stats. You only get that by watching.1 Gurley seems to be. (I don’t feel this way about Gordon.) Gurley is not a need pick for the Browns but an easy BPA pick at 19.
As for the rest, Jay Ajayi looks like a difference maker. But the other names –Yeldon, Johnson, Langford — just seem like ‘decent’ prospects. I.e,, put them behind a good line in a good offense and they’ll do ok. Why waste a mid round pick on those types when Isaiah Crowell could be lurking as an UDFA?
Gurley’s the one RB who will make his oline better, not vice versa. Transcendent.
There are two QBs who would be certain difference makers for the Browns this year and long term. One is Philip Rivers and he’s not available. The other is Colin Kaepernick and the Niners say he isn’t available but I’m not so sure,,, but let’s assume he’s not. So I’m pretty done trying to jam QBs in slots, forcing it to happen. You’re lucky if you get Aaron Rodgers. You’re savvy if you get Tom Brady. Andrew Luck and Peyton Manning come along once every 15 years. So my plan is to find a mature QB with leadership qualities, durability, strong arm, love of game, work ethic and surround him with a great line and good receivers.
I’m way past done taking ‘high ceiling’ ‘athletic’ QBs and ‘developing’ them. Vince Young, JaMarcus Russell, Josh Freeman, Tim Tebow, Cam Newton,2 Geno Smith, EJ Manuel, Robert Griffin.3 So you say Brett Hundley, I say pass.
If I have to take a QB early, I’ll go with Bryce Petty. If I’m allowed to trust my eyes and ignore draft rankings, I’ll take Bo Wallace late. It’s the savvy play.
As for Mariota,,, we all saw the Ohio State game right? I mean,,,, RIGHT??? Was his performance ‘transcendent?’ Because if you’re giving up three #1s for a player, he ought to be ‘transcendent.’ Leading an offense that went 2-12 on third downs in the championship game is not.
And Jameis? No idea but damn he was fat going into the NFL pre-draft season where you know you’re doing work with your shirt off. All signs point to a super high school athlete and who been winning by being bigger and faster than every he plays against; all signs point to a guy who’s been treated ‘special’ because he’s a great athlete. If that profile sounds familiar to Browns, it should.
Edge rushers?? Please stop.
Mother of God. We’ve invested heavily in Mingo, Kruger, Bryant. Just gave 3M to Randy Starks. (And yet the best ‘edge rusher’ we had was signed by the best team in football.) So knock it off with OLB talk. Let the investment mature. We just went three years with a top 10 pick who couldn’t break into the starting lineup; let’s not have the situation again.
- For the record: Trent Richardson’s dancing behind his line went on in Tuscaloosa. Remarkable combination of bad scouting and succumbing to group think on that pick. But I digress. [back]
- That’s right, Cam Newton. Does not impress me. [back]
- Manziel might also fit in that group depending on your definition of athletic; but he doesn’t fit for me. [back]