#CheddarBay wk 12, Clanga at Bama.
Placeholder for this week’s Cheddar thread. Note the Mississippi State at Alabama game is a 330pm Saturday kickoff. Don’t be late.
UPDATE2: Mississippi State +8.5 at Alabama, 330PM Saturday.
Harbaugh Handshakes has been paid for his Lobsterfest.
Tuesday: Akron -3.5 at Buffalo, UPDATE Toledo +5.5 at NIU
— NO LINE;1
- Wednesday: Ball State +3.5 at UMass, Kent +13 at BGSU.
final #CheddarBay MAC line: Toledo +5.5 at NIU. (from LVH.)
— mike b. (@603_brown) November 11, 2014
#CheddarBay late line Okla -12.5 at TTU
— mike b. (@603_brown) November 14, 2014
Football Outsiders on a roll.
I need to use the Cheddar thread to address this latest lunacy from the analytics crowd. Football Outsiders projects the Ravens and Steelers to make playoffs and the Browns not to. But what got me was the faulty reasoning behind the conclusion:
Unfortunately, DVOA does not rate the Browns as highly as it does the Ravens or Steelers, and Cleveland also has a harder schedule than its division rivals going forward.
1. Browns remaining “harder schedule” are games: Texans, at Falcons, at Bills, Colts, Bengals, at Panthers, at Ravens. That’s one playoff team as currectly constituted and that game (Colts) is at home and outside against a dome team. This is the harder schedule that keeps the Browns out of the playoffs??
2. Browns are awarded the NFL’s #1 WR next week. If DVOA thinks at Panthers in December poses a major challenge, it’s safe to assume DVOA has failed to factor in Josh Gordon’s return.
High school lines anyone?
I knew these existed somewhere. The Executive Committee has not sanctioned the epitome of degeneracy — HIGH SCHOOL FOOTBALL WAGERING — for Cheddar Bay action. But that doesn’t mean you can’t provide any special insights on this weekend’s playoff games.
Me? I say bet the house on the Middies. Click to enlarge these two.
I don’t know the origins of these documents, but when I scored last night’s games, I did notice that all the teams are referred to by their town name and high school name with only one exception: Big Red. Well Big Red won so we should expect to see another set of lines next week.
- No LVH line posted yet. Other places opened at NIU -2.5 and are now NIU -4.5/-5. Will wait till no later than 3pm today to see if LVH posts a line. [back]