#CheddarBay wk 6, Bama at Ole Miss.
Bama -6 at Ole Miss is the all play this week. Closest thing to a no-brainer we’ve had this year. Kickoff is 3:30PM Saturday.
What’s that? You haven’t met Laquon Treadwell yet? Well check him out. This is what a WR worthy of top three picks looks like. (Unlike Sammy Watkins. And have to say it, unlike Mike Evans.) Expect to see this on display Saturday.
Yeah and Bama’s got a good receiver too.
There are two games that LVH has not posted yet but others have. Let’s use these lines.
- Ohio State -8 at Maryland;
- Texas Tech +13 at Kansas State.
In both cases there are three offshore books with the same line so let’s just lock those in.
In other news, let’s hang onto this datum from Nate Silver and come back to it in a couple months.
Introducing the 603POWER rating.
nj0’s comment below is so on target it got me thinking: I can make a formula just like Adam Silver except 1000x better and more accurate that this horseshit.
It’s better and more accurate because it starts and stops with this immutable law of football:
The team that controls the line of scrimmage is usually the better team; the team that controls the offensive line is almost always the better team.
Thus the formula is:
PFF pass-block rating + PFF run-block rating + (0.75*(PFF pass-rush rating + PFF run-defense rating) ==> 603POWER RATING.
2014 year to date the 603POWER ranking goes: 1. Ravens, 2. Giants, 3. Bears, 4. Dolphins, 5. Cowboys. … Texans, Bucs, Jags, Pats, Panthers are the bottom five. Browns are #12.
If that seems a sketchy top five result, remember first: this is predictive. Nobody thought the Cowboys would be anything this either and now look.1
Second.. here’s the 2013 603POWER rank: 1. Broncos, 2. Niners, 3. Eagles, 4. Chiefs, 5. Bengals … 28. Bucs, 29. Raiders, 30. Falcons, 31. Bears, 32. Jags.
You can see the results in the spreadsheet here. Guarantee you this is a damn sight better than the nonsense Grantland is spewing out as analysis. (How’s Barnwell’s annual bet against Andrew Luck play doing? Right. Exactly.)