#CheddarBay 2013 Super Bowl.
So we’re down to the wire for Cheddar Bay 2013. The Super Bowl is here and it is worth 25 points. Thus we have three men standing:
- Frowns, 148.0;
- GrandRapidsRustlers, 135.0;
- ChuckKoz, 127.0.
Everyone1 else is eligible for non-inconsequential second prize.
I will update this post around 6pm tonight with the final point spread. Picks will be posted 24 hours before kickoff and are due at 630pm Saturday.
Super Bowl line: Broncos -2 vs. Seahawks.
Thinking about trying out the ‘anti-public’ betting strategy?
I haven’t researched the public play percentages on the last several Super Bowls, but our Cheddar playoff pickers have had a tendency to favor one side in two of the last three Super Bowls. In the three that I’ve tracked, the minority viewpoint has prevailed.
Last year (2012): Slick, CLTIL, MPLS, Dennis, Moby, ChuckKoz, JeffRich, PeteF, Nick, and GRR all went for Niners -3.5; Harbaugh the lone Ravens picker and Cheddar Champ.
2011, fairly even split: Zara, Sneeda, CapGG, me, Frowns hopped on the Pats -3; CLTIL, FlyHighChazFrye, and Dood grabbed the Giants and Dood grabbed first place. (
Thanks Asante Samuel.) (Wrong Super Bowl. I mean, thanks Wes Welker. Tougher catch than Collinsworth makes it out to be but still...)
2010, just four players: Peter, Cuuugs, TomRR88 rode with the Steelers; P4EVA took the Packers and the cheese.
It looks like the bets are coming in 2:1 in favor of the Broncos. You trust the public? You trust the Seattle O?
And what about weather? Was anyone else hoping for a blizzard like this one?
(Witness archetypal Phil Dawson awesome-ness at 0:31 and 1:54.)
(As bad as things are for the Browns, never forget the Bills… they’re always right with us. See early beast mode Lynch at 0:52 — traded by Bills for 4th round and conditional draft picks.2 )
Fun with mock drafts.
The Browns now have a head coach (God help him.) and a defensive coordinator and maybe there will be an OC soon too, who knows? What we do know is that it is time for three months of over analysis of draft prospects and of course posturing.. oh the posturing. Here is where your CheddarBay time pays off, because you’ve been watching and betting college football since August, right? BAM. You know more that 90% of your twitter feed on the talent available. Embrace it! I know I have.
And while obviously I’ll have some opinions to share on the subjects of draft and free agency, it’s not too early to start playing around with mock draft scenarios. Toward that end, here is a fun toy that let’s you play out a draft based on what other teams might be taking. I can’t quite vouch for it’s algorithms but it is fun. For example, here’s what I got after plugging in my current preferred top pick for the Browns.
4 WR MIKE EVANS TEXAS A&M
26 CB DARQUEZE DENNARD MICHIGAN STATE
35 DE KONY EALY MISSOURI
71 RB BISHOP SANKEY WASHINGTON
83 OT JACK MEWHORT OHIO STATE
102 QB JIMMY GAROPPOLO EASTERN ILLINOIS
123 ILB JORDAN ZUMWALT UCLA
133 OLB ADRIAN HUBBARD ALABAMA
164 G BRANDON LINDER MIAMI
195 S VINNIE SUNSERI ALABAMA