If Bill O’Brien chooses Browns over Texans, he’s the wrong guy.
While listening to the same old sorry horseshit from Banner/Haslam in the background I decided to take a look forward to one of the more preposterous rumors currently floating:
Bill O’Brien as the possible next head coach of the Browns. ??!!
This rumor persists in spite of the reporting that he is the top candidate for the Houston Texans’ job. To this I say the coach who would choose the Browns over the Texans should be disqualified for either being stupid or blindly mercenary.
Leaving aside the foolishness of signing on to work for a demonstrably untrustworthy boss; an organization where you can only be sure that no one has your back… leaving aside the absurdity that a quality coach would not allow himself to be bought with a guaranteed contract as quality coaches are, by definition, more interested in building legacies and achievements… leaving aside the mind-bending idea that a coach in demand would willingly come to a cold city in decline to work for a control-freak CEO and an absentee/possibly-soon-to-be-criminally-indicted owner…
Leaving all that aside: look at the talent situation in Houston and tell me they’re not next year’s Chiefs. Just as last year’s Chiefs had QB turmoil plus injuries to many key players1, so too this year’s Texans went from being consensus division champs to the #1 pick in the draft.
Next year’s Texans will welcome back: Owen Daniels, Arian Foster, Brian Cushing, and Johnathan Joseph. They get to choose their favorite QB in the draft (rumored to be Blake Bortles on their board). And then they get to plug holes at guard (Cyril Richardson?), d-tackle (Tuitt?), and/or ILB (Skov in the third?)2.
Repeat: the 2-14 Texans have four Pro-Bowlers coming back (actually five if you include Matt Schaub who actually was Pro-Bowl last year). So by no fault of their own, they were worst and now they will add their view of the top QB in a QB draft.
They’re the 1997 San Antonio Spurs with injured David Robinson leading to Tim Duncan.
Don’t buy it? Here, I did a powerpoint slide for you on this.
If you’re a good head coach and in demand, wouldn’t you rather be the 2014 version of Andy Reid than say, I don’t know, the 2014 version of Rob Chudzinski?
I wanted to get this up now. I’m working on the Browns’ counterpart to the Texans slide above; will update post in a couple hours. Though I haven’t started it, I’m roughly 100% certain the Browns’ prospective roster would look not just worse than the Texans’ but worse than the Browns depth chart prior to Banner taking over.
Ok here’s the Browns’ starting lineup from Ourlads. The difference is clear. Where the Texans have holes, they have injured all-pros coming back to fill the holes. Where the Browns have holes, if they’re cheap (Gipson, Skrine) they’ll be back. Where the Browns do not have holes, if they’re expensive (Mack, Ward) they won’t be back.